TurningPoint HR report: UK Economic Outlook

This quarterly report outlines key data and trends for Q4 of 2025.

The last three months of the year were defined by speculation about the contents of the Autumn Budget. The uncertainty had a tangible effect on real GDP growth figures, the report states. 

But inflation seems to have peaked at a lower level than expected and despite the poor economic growth of Q3, the UK is still set to be the second fastest-growing economy in the G7 for 2025. 

Download the full report to find out:

  • Wage growth hit 4.2% in September 2025
  • Real GDP is estimated to have increased by 0.1% in Q3 2025 
  • Unemployment rose to 4.8% in the three months to August and is projected to rise again slightly to 5% in Q4. 

Supplied by REBA Associate Member, Turning Point

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